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People do almost always over-represent the value of a missing player. Bravo and Gayle have been among West Indies’ best, just not unbeatably so. We rate players as important, but we don’t necessarily do any scaling for likely impact.
However, part of that is because even the good cricketers are horribly inconsistent. When Tendulkar is only good for a 50 every 3 digs, it’s perfectly acceptable to suck for the important part of an ODI series. Cricket is the domain of expecting outliers and unlikely situations.
It’s almost like they forget that the player would have to replace someone else in the team.
What they need to do is to employ talented statisticians so that they can drop players when they’re due a failure and bring them back in when they’ll succeed.
In the example above, you need to work out which of the one in every three innings Tendulkar will be good for. Drop him for the other two.